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Investment policy in Zambia - an agenda for action
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Introduction

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has been long considered as a major source of capital in many developing countries in the world. Since many developing countries do not have adequate domestic capital, they adopt measures to attract capital from external sources. Although investment is considered as one of the crucial factors for higher economic growth and development, there is no unanimity among stakeholders about the role of FDI in achieving these objectives. This is especially true in the context of the sub-Saharan African countries, where FDI has not made considerable impact on the economic situation.

The capacity of African countries to attract and channelise FDI to productive sectors is principally determined by their natural resource base and the size of their local markets. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) World Investment Report (WIR) 2003 has identified the natural resources sector as an important determining factor for FDI flows into Africa. Although there have been several analytical and empirical studies on FDI inflows, there is little consensus on which factors play an unambiguous role in explaining the location decision of foreign investors. It is generally accepted that market size and access to natural resources are crucial determinants in their decision-making processes on investment. The various incentive schemes of host countries normally play a secondary role in attracting investment. The 1990s, however, saw the growth of efficiency and strategic asset-seeking FDI.

Globally, trans-national corporations (TNCs) are the major source of FDI. Globalisation, a worldwide trend towards integration of markets, has led to a change in the FDI strategies of TNCs. Faced with increased international competition, TNCs’ global strategies seek to maximise their competitiveness, by locating facilities in multiple locations around the world. Thus, attracting FDI is increasingly dependent on the ability of countries to provide a favourable FDI regime and competitive factors of production.

Investment in natural resources-based production systems brings with it a number of drawbacks. First, the prices of mineral, energy and similar primary products are, historically, prone to wide fluctuations and, thereby, expose the countries to great vulnerability. Second, many natural resources are nonrenewable and require strict management. Third, investment in natural resources-based sectors can attract massive inflows of foreign currency, and that can lead to a continuous appreciation of the local currency for some time, but can lead to depreciation as soon as the boom period is over. Finally, many of these sectors (e.g., mineral, oil, gas, etc.) are capital-intensive, with standardised processes that require very little adaptation to local labour and technologies, thus generating only modest, spontaneous positive spillovers and backward linkages to the local economy.

A stable, efficient and professional environment that welcomes investors into most economic activities, without discrimination, is a necessary prerequisite for FDI inflows. Modern, legal and intellectual property rights, effective competition policies, a strong judiciary and minimum bureaucratic procedures are all important to attract foreign investors. However, the ultimate determinants of FDI are the competitive factors of production which no longer mean just cheap raw materials, labour and basic infrastructure but also require adaptable labour skills, sophisticated supplier networks and flexible institutions. While tax incentives can enhance a country’s attractiveness, if other factors are unfavourable, these will be insufficient to significantly increase inflows of FDI.

The promotion of FDI in the natural resources sector in Zambia should, therefore, be accompanied by enforceable policies aimed at industrial diversification, the promotion of an R&D-base and backward linkages from natural resource-based industries to local industrial companies. Policies should aim to encourage a shift from the exploitation in this sector to the promotion of more refined goods for export purposes. This is especially important with regards to non-renewable resources, the use of which provides a one-time boost to the industrialisation process.

The Investment for Development Project

In the light of the critical importance of FDI in the framework of developing countries, the ‘Investment for Development’ project endeavours to study the investment regimes of selected developing/transition economies and build capacity on investment policies, trends and perceptions. The emphasis is on co-operation between countries and regions sharing information and experience and engendering joint initiatives.

This two-year project, launched in September 2001, is being supported by the Department for International Development (DFID), UK, and implemented by Consumer Unity & Trust Society (CUTS), India, in collaboration with UNCTAD.

The project involves fact-finding and advocacy work on investment regimes in seven developing and transition economies, namely, Bangladesh, Brazil, Hungary, India, South Africa, Tanzania and Zambia. CUTS Africa Resource Centre, Lusaka, is the partner organisation for the project in Zambia.

National Reference Group (NRG)

One of the key components of the IFD Project was to form a National Reference Group (NRG) in each of the project countries. The role of the NRG was to:

  • monitor the quality and content of the research outputs generated;
  • create a sounding board which could be used for advocacy on foreign investment regimes in the project countries;
  • facilitate discussions on international investment issues and deliberate on strategies which could be used by developing countries at international fora; and
  • attract attention to the project at the national level, through NRG meetings scheduled throughout the timeframe of the project.
The NRG in Zambia comprised of the following:

  • academia;
  • media;
  • civil society organisations that have a bearing on economic issues;
  • non-governmental organisations (NGOs);
  • government ministries, departments and statutory bodies that deal with investment issues, in one way or the other; and
  • Chambers of Commerce.
Highlights of the Report

This report is one of the seven such reports prepared by each partner organisation, as part of the project. This report contains:

  • the highlights of the discussions in the NRG meetings;
  • the background and analysis of key areas of the debate on FDI; and
  • prioritised policy recommendations emerging from the project research and the meetings.
It also contains action points on FDI for civil society, governments and intergovernmental organisations. The report will be distributed widely in the country among policy makers, civil society organisations and business groups.

Organisation of the Report

This report comprises seven sections, Introduction being the first one. Section two deals with investment policy, performance and perceptions in Zambia; section three discusses briefly stakeholders’ views on FDI in Zambia, while sections four, five and six discuss the advocacy points for the government, inter-governmental organisations and civil societies, respectively. Finally, section seven contains a brief conclusion.

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